Jamaica to benefit from Coffee futures

Coffee prices referenced on the commodities market are trading near two year highs.

Prices are up 50 per cent since lows of 2019 on news of an expected drop in production going forward, while at the same time met with increased demand from developed nations for coffee.

“World exports are expected down 4.7 million bags to 115.4 million primarily due to lower shipments from Brazil and Honduras,” stated the Coffee: World Markets and Tradereport published this month by the US Department of Agriculture. “With global consumption forecast at a record 166.4 million bags, ending inventories are expected to slip 400,000 bags to 35.0 million.

The report stated that coffee production for 2019/20 is forecast 5.3 million bags (60 kilogrammes) lower than the previous year to 169.3 million, primarily due to Brazil’s Arabica trees entering the off-year of the biennial production cycle.

Arabica coffee futures are now at US$1.31 from just shy of the US$1.38 52 week high but far from the low of US$0.86. It follows on a series of measures which affected demand and supply.

It matters, as the commodity futures give a guide to the directional flow of pricing of most coffees, even those that do not trade on the exchange like luxury Jamaica Blue Mountain. The entire crop of JBM can fit into less than a day’s production in Colombia, so the island’s crop does not affect demand or supply. Buyers in Japan however which accounts for some 70 per cent of total sales of JBM beans will be less likely to pay a premium for JBM if coffee demand overall is down.

“The Japanese are buying again but the prices are not that great,” said a Spokesman for a large farming brand in the Jamaica Blue Mountains.

The data for this year’s total exports of Jamaica Blue Mountain are not yet disclosed.

China continues to grow its consumption with the growth of Luckin Coffee formed in 2017 and listed this year. It continues to add several stores a day now at some 4,280 up over 200 per cent year on year, at the time of this report. It is now the largest chain in China surpassing Starbucks which operates some 4,100 sores in China.

 

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Jamaica coffee experient

Some coffee companies in the island are innovating. They want to expand the definition of great coffee to include a more fruity taste profile instead of preponderance of chocolate tones. No one will go on the record but expect options that are bursting with fruit to hit shelves within the medium term.

🙂

Jamaica coffee Prices Falling Now

Good news, finally coffee prices are starting to fall. Consumers of Jamaica Blue Mountain Coffee will see a 10% reduction in the price going forward. Of course there is one proviso: That weather conditions will remain. Specifically the absence of hurricanes, and there’s one looming in the Caribbean Basin as I text. It seems hard to believe that right now it’s a buyer’s market when just a year-and-a-half ago farmers could get as high as J$13,000 a box of coffee. Now farmers are being offered $6,000 a box. Naturally most farmers do not want to sell but they’re caught in a dilemma because if they don’t sell now the ripe red coffee cherries will rot and die. There’s only one processor that is buying now and that’s Mavis Bank coffee. As a result Farmers have been protesting. They do not want to sell their beans for half its worth.

Buy now before end of September, and get a 10% discount as Paypal partial refund.

Buy Jamaica coffee during shortage like salada

A local coffee brand SALADA Foods Jamaica Limited found out the hard way where to buy lots of Jamaica coffee during a nationwide coffee shortage.The problem was that they bought too much coffee at high prices equivalent to half of its annual sales.Prices have now stabilised and some dealers actually think it will dip in a year

The company said on Friday that its huge J$400 millon (us$3m) build up of inventory a year ago still stands at $309 million as at March 2016.The company complained about coffee prices last year but bought lots of it regardless. The company underwent a change of management in recent years.salada made J$15.5 m net proft on $159 m in revenues or 45 per cent lower profit year on year.

The price increases arguably slashed its sales by one-quarter, year on year.Coffee farmers are demanding more per box due to the impact of currency depreciation on farm costs, and also the cost to protect the coffee against disease and theft. Three years ago processors paid roughly $3,000 for a box of coffee cherry to farmers. Now farmers get $11,000 a box.Salada faced with increased local coffee competition in both the instant and brewed markets will launch new instant coffee products this year. 

Jamaica Coffee factory starts 4 day work week

Jamaica Coffee shortage continues with a major producer resorting to  4 day work week, jamaicamocha understands.
“Due to severe shortage of coffee,” the notice started, workers will have the choice of a day off.
Annual coffee exports once US$30 million prior to the Western financial crisis nearly 7 years earlier are now half that level.

Jamaica Coffee shortage continues with a major producer resorting to  4 day work week, jamaicamocha understands.
“Due to severe shortage of coffee,” the notice started, workers will have the choice of a day off.
Annual coffee exports once US$30 million prior to the Western financial crisis nearly 7 years earlier are now half that level.